Journal Article Ppublish 2 citations
PubMed: 36528426 DOI: 10.1016/j.acra.2022.11.032
Scenario Planning Approach to Adapting in the COVID Era.
Acad Radiol 30(4):572-578
Authors: James V Rawson, Jennifer P Stevens
Affiliations
- Harvard Medical School, Boston Massachusetts; Department of Radiology, Beth Israel Medical Center, One Deaconess Rd, Boston, MA 02215.
- Center for Healthcare Delivery Design, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Massachusetts; Division of pulmonary, critical care, and sleep medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Massachusetts.
Abstract
RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused much uncertainty and disruption in healthcare resulting in many challenges for strategic planning. Scenario planning is a tool that allows healthcare leaders to plan healthcare delivery strategies by incorporating the uncertainties into the analysis and planning process.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Variables were identified which will have major impact on the future, but whose future direction is uncertain. The extremes of these drivers were used to generate multiple scenarios. A subset of scenarios was used to evaluate potential tactics to determine which may be high yield in the face of uncertainty.
RESULTS
Unlike traditional strategic planning, scenario planning does not develop a single future with a path to that future. Scenario planning evaluates tactics to determine which would be helpful in specific scenarios, multiple different futures or under specific conditions.
CONCLUSION
We present a scenario planning model which can be used to determine specific tactics to accommodate the uncertainty due to variable healthcare delivery needs in the COVID-19 era.
MeSH
Radiography, Radiology, Uncertainty, Covid-19