Abstract

BACKGROUND

Advanced interstitial lung disease (ILD) often necessitates lung transplantation, and identifying accessible prognostic markers is essential for effective management. However, the link between serum tumour markers and survival in waitlisted lung transplant candidates with advanced ILD remains underexplored.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate associations between serum tumour marker levels and long-term survival in lung transplant candidates with advanced ILD.

METHODS

This study included 282 patients with end-stage ILD who were waitlisted for lung transplantation from November 2012 to March 2021. Baseline data and serum tumour marker levels were assessed before listing. Vital status and transplant outcomes were retrospectively reviewed as of 31 May 2023. Associations between tumour markers, clinical variables and mortality were analysed using Cox proportional hazards models with competing risk regression.

RESULTS

During a median wait time of 17.8 months (IQR: 7.8-44.1), 107 patients received transplants, 38 survived on the list and 137 died while waiting. Multivariable analysis identified higher CA-125 levels (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.06, p=0.001), older age (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.06, p=0.001), female gender (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.04, p<0.04), elevated C-reactive protein (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.34, p=0.01) and cerebrovascular disease (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.38 to 2.98, p=0.01) as significant predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

Among waitlisted lung transplant candidates with advanced ILD, elevated serum carbohydrate antigen (CA)-125 and CA19-9 levels are associated with higher mortality risk. Routine assessment of these markers may enhance risk stratification for this patient population.

MeSH

Mortality, Lung, Serum, Respiratory Tract Diseases, Respiratory Therapy, Cohort Studies, Transplants, Lung Diseases, Ca-125 Antigen, Lung Transplantation, Transplantation, Lung Diseases, Interstitial