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Journal Article Ahead of print 1 citation

PubMed: 40510573 DOI: 10.1159/000546185

Predicting Survival Outcomes in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Lenvatinib by Using the Up7-ALBI Score.

Liver Cancer

Authors: Chien-Hung Lu, Wei-Yu Kao, Chih-Horng Wu, Wei-Yi Ting, Chia-Hsun Lu, Kai-I Chuang, Cheng-Fu Ni, Yao-Yu Hsieh, Ming-Shun Wu, Chien-Wei Su, San-Chi Chen

Affiliations

  • Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • TMU Research Center for Digestive Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Taipei Cancer Center, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Graduate Institute of Metabolism and Obesity Sciences, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Department of Medical Imaging and Radiology, National Taiwan University Hospital and College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Center of Minimal-Invasive Interventional Radiology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Hepatitis Research Center, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Department of Medical Imaging, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Department of Medical Imaging, Wan Fang Hospital, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Department of Medical Imaging, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Division of Hematology and Oncology, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan. Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Wan Fang Hospital, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • School of Medicine, College of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Oncology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.

Abstract

Introduction

Lenvatinib effectively manages unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Current prognostic models do not integrate tumor burden with liver function. By combining the Up-to-7 criteria and the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, we developed the Up7-ALBI score, a novel scoring system for predicting survival outcomes in patients with unresectable HCC receiving lenvatinib.

Methods

This multicenter, retrospective study analyzed 205 patients with unresectable HCC. Tumor burden and liver function were assessed using the up-to-7 criteria and the ALBI grade, respectively. Cox proportional-hazards models evaluated their impact on survival. The Up7-ALBI score was developed to categorize patients into distinct prognostic groups. Its prognostic value was validated in a cohort of HCC patients receiving immunotherapy.

Results

The overall response rate (assessed as per the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [RECIST] 1.1 criteria) was 13.2%. This rate was significantly higher for patients without metastases (18.6%) and those with a radiologic tumor burden within the up-to-7 criteria (22.7%). The median progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) were 7.3 and 12.2 months, respectively. Exceeding the up-to-7 criteria (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-2.57) and an ALBI grade of 2 or 3 (HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.06-2.47) emerged as independent risk factors of OS. A novel Up7-ALBI score stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups for survival (30.8 vs. 14.2 vs. 9.3 months; p < 0.01). A validation cohort of 58 HCC patients with immunotherapy showed the consistent prognostic value of Up7-ALBI score. The Akaike information criterion value of the Cox proportional-hazards model for BCLC stage, ALBI grade, and Up7-ALBI score was 1,203, 1,174, and 1,170, respectively.

Conclusion

The Up7-ALBI score, incorporating tumor burden and liver function, effectively stratified survival outcomes in HCC patients treated with lenvatinib. Further validation in larger cohorts and across different systemic therapies is required to confirm its broad clinical applicability.

MeSH

Carcinoma, Hepatocellular, Neoplasms, Liver, Immunotherapy, Tumor Burden, Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors, Proportional Hazards Models